Polymarket and Kalshi bettors seek to predict outcome of coming papal conclave.

April's job growth beat expectations, but rising unemployment, wage stagnation, and contracting manufacturing hint at hidden ...

The S&P 500 has surged in a matter of days despite new predictions of a recession. Click here to find out more on the U.S.

The S&P 500 peaked at 6,144 in February 2025. If the U.S. economy suffers a recession, the index could drop 31% to 4,239, ...

NBER says a variety of factors go into measuring when the economy has hit a peak or trough. In basic terms, these examples include the labor market, personal income and spending, factory output, and ...

Eight economists that make up the NBER committee determine a recession. The last one was during COVID in 2020.

The odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 have surged past 70%, triggered by a string of troubling economic indicators.

Asian markets diverge on April 30 as weak China PMIs, US recession odds, and rate cut bets influence regional trading trends.

Some of the most popular indicators for forecasting recession suggest that the US may be headed toward a prolonged downturn, ...

Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi are forecasting that the US will report negative economic growth for the first ...

A global recession is more likely than not to happen this year, following the Trump administration's tariff broadside. That's the opinion of JPMorgan analysts, who raised their forecast to 60% ...

Prediction markets are reshaping how we forecast events by adding real financial stakes. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi ...