Overview. This note presents Bank of Canada staff’s current assessment of the US and Canadian neutral rates of interest. The neutral rate is where the Bank expects the policy rate would settle once ...

U.S. interest rates look too high, relative to inflation. A compelling argument can be made that U.S. interest rates ...

The RBI MPC surprised markets with a 50 bps cut in the repo rate but simultaneously shifted its policy stance from ‘accommodative’ back to ‘neutral.’ RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said that ...

The Fed is likely to keep the Federal Funds rate unchanged in June, and continue to signal two cuts in 2025, as the macro ...

The Fed’s dot plot is a chart that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate. The dot plot is updated every three months and is meant to ...

SYDNEY (Reuters) -New Zealand's interest rates are in the 2.5%-3.5% neutral band, with past policy easing yet to flow through to the economy to make future moves more dependent on how the economy ...

A look at the existing correlation between bond yields and stocks suggests that the Fed's "r-star" estimate, or its "real" neutral rate of interest, "should now be back to pre-[global financial ...

EU mid-market update: ECB poised to cut 25bps into their estimated neutral rate range but market sees another cut on horizon; Forward guidance in focus. Notes/observations - With ECB decision in ...

New Zealand’s central bank cut interest rates for a sixth straight meeting and sent mixed signals on its policy outlook, forecasting another cut even as officials said the benchmark is now close ...

I was planning to write today about why a 4.5%-5.0% nominal Treasury rate is not only not the end of the world, but actually sort of normal. Naturally, the reason I am even thinking about the ...