John P. Hussman, who correctly called the 2000 and 2008 declines, said a recession might hit the U.S. economy as soon as in ...

In these models, the predicted value will fall between zero and 1 and can be interpreted as the chance that a recession ... Chart 3 shows the model’s forecast for recessions that start in the next ...

Stock market returns under presidential administrations are more correlation than causation, regardless of what political ...

At the end of 2022, the common narrative predicted an imminent recession ... is headed in the second half of the year. If, when, and how deep a recession may be will determine if we see more ...

The index's January performance has historically been a strong predictor of performance for the remainder of the calendar year. The New York Fed's recession probability model suggests there is ...

The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by the yield curve. For those of us who are not yield curve maximalists ...

Bank boss Andrew Bailey told the BBC it expected to cut rates further but warned the road ahead would be bumpy.

“Our team, a great team at Bank of America Research, does not have any recession predicted anymore,” Moynihan said. “Last year, this time, it was a recession.” Moynihan said the consumer ...