“The US will fall into a recession in late 2024 or early 2025,” they wrote, citing data from their kinked Phillips curve framework. According to BCA, the framework suggests a nonlinear ...

The logic goes that when inflation is coming, we should raise rates, while a looming recession means we should cut them. But ...

This is the metadata section. Skip to content viewer section. We discuss how the relative importance of factors that contribute to movements of the US Beveridge curve has changed from 1959 to 2023. We ...