Discover how emotional biases impact stock market crash estimates. See why expert analysis suggests lower risk and learn how to refine your own forecasts.

Robbins (1968) considered the problem of estimating the total probability of the unobserved outcomes of an experiment. In this paper we suggest an estimator, based on n trials, and show that under ...

In this paper, we propose Vasicek-type models for estimating portfolio-level probability of default (PD). With these Vasicek models, asset correlation and long-run PD (LRPD) for a risk-homogeneous ...

The problem of estimating the variance of the ratio estimator in sampling with probability proportional to aggregate size is investigated. The form of nonnegative unbiased variance estimators is found ...

Pramote Cholayudth, cpramote2000@yahoo.com, is the founder and manager of PM Consult. He is an industrial pharmacist with more than 40 years of experience. He is a guest speaker on process validation ...

Discover why options market data suggests a lower crash risk for U.S. stocks than pundit surveys, and how to optimize asset ...

Want to get the latest read on which party has the edge this Election Day? The Fox News Probability Meter is here for you. The new tool is launching on FoxNews.com, to give midterm election-watchers a ...

Insurance can effectively mitigate significant operational risks. However, not all losses are insurable, and payments of covered losses are not generally reimbursed in full for reasons including the ...

Pramote Cholayudth is an industrial pharmacist with more than 40 years of experiences. He is a guest speaker on Process Validation to industrial pharmaceutical scientists organized by Thailand’s FDA.

New research found that infants have better math skills than previously suspected. From the age of six months, babies can calculate probability and estimate risk. Research from the Max Planck ...